Wednesday 16 December 2015

Forex: GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD Down due to FOMC statement; USDJPY Up


GBP/USD
Tuesday seemed to be ruled by volatility throughout the course of the day. The pair might have broken down,however 1.50 level below comes out to be supportive,hence our eagerness to start selling. The main game changer for the current period will be the impending FOMC Statement as it has the ability to change the market direction instantaneously. We are currently playing safe and wait for the market to make up its mind. The best thing to do at the moment is to simply wait. Get 3 Days Free Trial Signals
EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair made a bearish candle in the 1.10 zone on Tuesday. The FOMC statement will be playing its part in this pair too, as it is the only way to get an idea what the Federal Reserve is planning to do next. Its best to calmly wait for the Fed decision and then decide what to do. Until the decision is released ,we expect high Volatility in the market.
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair finds support at 0.7150 level and we have hopes of a pull back from this level. Tuesday saw the pair drop as we continued with our search for opportunities. A prolong drop might see the pair touch the 0.70 level, but the possibility is stronger in case the lows of of the session are breached.Overall, the markets are going to be very volatile.
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY climbed up on Tuesday, due to the presence of buyers below. We are positive of touching the 124 level and with the FOMC statement on its way,the volatility might give us some additional thrust. Considering the 120 level as the “floor”, we might exploit the any pullback as a buying opportunity. A hawkish statement might even get us passed the 125 level and our confidence refrains us from taking any short positions.

Tuesday 15 December 2015

KLCI Downs at last moments as Europe opens strong

The FTSE Bursa Malaysia (FBM) KLCI plummeted during the final minutes of trading after remaining flat for most of the day. 3 Days Free Trial Signals
The benchmark index closed down 7.12 points to an intraday low of 1,622.84 points as at 5pm, which also represents a new two-month low for the KLCI. 
Turnover for the day was 1.43 billion shares worth RM1.6bil. The broader market was mixed with 387 gainers, 386 losers and 389 stocks unchanged.
The declines were attributed to several component stocks of the KLCI which hit intraday lows upon market close, including Tenaga Nasional Bhd and British American Tobacco.
Key Asian markets were mostly positive at market close, while European bourses opened strongly on Tuesday as investors await what will probably be the first interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in a decade this week.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet in Washington on Dec 16 to vote on whether to raise interest rates after a decade of close to zero borrowing costs.
Among the biggest gainers in Europe were the Stoxx Europe 600 Index which gained 1.2% in early morning trading. Similarly, Germany’s DAX advanced 1.6%.
Bloomberg reported that despite the advances, markets remain jittery due to the Fed meeting, plummeting crude oil prices as well as recent losses in high-yield credit markets.
Market forecast for KLCI:
Yesterday the KLCI index had given a closing near to the support level and if the index will cross the level of 1620 then we are expecting it to give a negative movement in near term, however the movement of the index in broadly influenced by the upcoming result of FED meeting on interest rate decision.
The ringgit was recovered slightly and was last traded at RM4.3025 as at 5pm against the dollar, compared to RM4.3265 earlier this morning.
Brent crude recovered slightly to US$37.98 per barrel, while US crude rose to US$36.37.
Crude palm oil for third month delivery fell by RM69 to RM2,406 per tonne, having hit RM2,500 on Dec 11.
Westports led the decliners in the KLCI after falling 14 sen to close at RM3.85.Astro fell 9 sen to RM2.53.
Among the plantation counters in the KLCI, PPB Group rose 2 sen to close at RM15.38. Sime Darby fell 10 sen to RM7.29 while Kuala Lumpur Kepong closed flat at RM22.14.
Petronas Chemicals led the gainers after rising 15 sen to close at RM6.80. Petronas Gas fell 4 sen to RM22.10 while SapuraKencana Petroleum fell one sen to RM1.86.
  Among the banks, Hong Leong Bank closed up 12 sen to RM13.40. Maybank fell 7 sen to RM8.18 while CIMB was flat at RM4.40.
AmBank fell 5 sen to RM4.31 while Public Bank was down 2 sen to RM18.24.
As for telcos, Maxis fell 3 sen to RM6.51 while DiGi closed flat at RM5.03. Axiata rose two sen to RM6 while TM fell two sen to RM6.43.
Glovemakers were among the top gainers in the broader market. Top Glove Corp closed at a new all-time high of RM11.86 after gaining 86 sen today on the back of strong quarterly earnings. Meanwhile, Supermax rose 15 sen to close at RM2.91.
Among the key regional markets:
 Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.68% to 18,565.90;
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.17% to 21,274.37;
The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.29% to 3,510.35;
CSI 300 fell 0.46% to 3,694.39;
Taiwan’s Taiex rose 0.41% to 8,073.35;
South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.27% to 1,932.27 and
Singapore’s Straits Times Index gained 0.19% to 2,820.34.
Spot gold fell US$3.02 to US$1,062.89 per troy ounce.

Monday 14 December 2015

FBM KLCI Technical Analysis & Market Forecast 15 Dec

Market Review for KLCI: The FBM KLCI index lost 10.18 points or 0.62% on Monday. The Finance Index fell 0.46% to 13951.92 points, the Properties Index dropped 1.15% to 1162.27 points and the Plantation Index down 0.40% to 7322.99 points. The market traded within a range of 10.16 points within a high of 1635.28 and a low of 1625.12 during the session.
The KLCI closed 10.18 points lower to 1629.96 points amid losses in Wall Street on last Friday as oil prices continued to slide and investors remained cautious over the potential interest rate hike by Federal Reserve.
Market forecast for KLCI:
The KLCI index is expected to trade with bearish sentiments in coming trading session on the back of the cautious investors sentiment over the upcoming FED meeting on interest rate decision. On technical ground the KLCI index test the level of 1600 in near term.
KLCI COUNTER SPECIFIC NEWS:
  • Petronas Dagangan Bhd is divesting its liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) businesses in Vietnam as part of its portfolio rationalisation strategy.
  • Taliworks Corp Bhd, which has a tie-up with the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) to acquire and operate concession-based asset, has set it sights on a few more targets locally and abroad.
  • Dagang NeXchange Bhd (DNeX) expects to double its full-year revenue in 2016, backed by its oil and gas ventures. By 2020, energy is expected to be a dominant driver for the company, whose mainstay now remains trade facilitation and e-commerce.
  • Berjaya Food Bhd, the country’s largest-listed food and beverage (F&B) company by market capitalisation, will tread cautiously when it comes to acquisitions.
  • GD Express Carrier Bhd (GDex), riding on the e-commerce wave, will pursue inorganic growth via acquisitions and seek partnerships with other courier companies to expand into new markets in the Asean region, as it aims to achieve 24% to 25% net profit growth this financial year ending June 30, 2016.
  • AirAsia Group has won the 'World's Leading Low-Cost Airline' title for the third consecutive year at this year's World Travel Awards Grand Final 2015 held in Morocco.
GLOBAL FACTORS AND WORLD INDICES:
  • Asian stocks fell on Monday and China's yuan hit fresh 4-1/2 year lows as plunging oil prices added to investors' nervousness about riskier assets ahead of an expected US rate rise by the Federal Reserve later in the week.
  • Shanghai stocks jumped more than 2 per cent on Monday in their best session in a month, as stronger-than-expected November factory activity lifted sentiment without dashing hopes of fresh stimulus.
  • Tokyo stocks tumbled on Monday, extending a global equities sell-off ahead of this week's hotly anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting.The benchmark Nikkei 225 index at the Tokyo Stock Exchange fell 1.80 per cent, or 347.06 points, to 18,883.42 by the close, after losing more than three percent in earlier trading.
  • Australian shares came within a whisker of their 2015 trough on Monday, in line with a rout in the region, as falling oil prices and worries that U.S. interest rates will be hiked this week unsettled the market.The S&P/ASX 200 index shed 2.01 per cent, or 100.85 points, to finish at 4,928.60.
  • Hong Kong's benchmark stock index fell for the eighth straight session to a more than 2-month low on Monday.The Hang Seng index fell 0.7 per cent, to 21,309.85, the lowest close since Sept 30. But the China Enterprises Index , which tracks Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, gained 0.1 per cent, to 9,315.91 points.
  • European shares opened higher on Monday as a sell-off triggered by China concerns and tumbling oil prices ran out of steam, with wind turbine makers Vestas Wind and Nordex among the leading gainers following a landmark climate deal.The pan-European FTSE Eurofirst index was up 0.7 per cent by 0825 GMT, after falling more than 2 per cent on Friday.
  • China's yuan hit a fresh 4-1/2-year low to the dollar on Monday, after the central bank said it had begun publishing a yuan exchange rate weighted against a basket of currencies, a move that will eventually loosen the currency's link to the greenback.
  • Energy-linked firms took another battering in Asia on Monday morning, leading losses on regional markets as oil prices sank to fresh seven-year lows, with warnings of further falls to come for the commodity.However, while companies that rely on fossil fuels to drive profits were taking a hit, he weekend climate deal was unlikely to have had a major impact on their shares for now.
  • Gold ticked up on Monday, but was under pressure from a Federal Reserve policy meeting this week when the US central bank is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade.In its last policy meeting of the year on Dec. 15-16, the Fed is seen raising rates by a quarter of a per centage point.

Thursday 10 December 2015

Bursa Malaysia; Market Review for KLCI- 11 Dec

The FBM KLCI index lost 10.71 points or 0.65% on Thursday. The Finance Index fell 0.25% to 14107.75 points, the Properties Index dropped 0.45% to 1180.61 points and the Plantation Index down 1.22% to 7358.69 points. The market traded within a range of 12.54 points between an intra-day high of 1661.19 and a low of 1648.65 during the session.
The KLCI extended its losing streak for the third day after closing lower at 1648.65 points amid overnight losses in US market. Market sentiment was muted as oil prices continued to slide.
Market forecast for KLCI:
The KLCI index is expected to end the week with bearish sentiments on the back of the week global economical outlook, technically the index had crossed the level of 1660-1657 and it can drop further in near term. 
KLCI COUNTER SPECIFIC NEWS :
  • Malaysia palm oil futures closed lower on Wednesday as traders squared positions ahead of key supply and demand data fr U.S and Malaysia.
  • Country Heights Holdings Bhd (CHHB) has inked a joint venture agreement with Galaxus Corp Sdn Bhd (Galaxus) and Tan Sri Lee Kim Tiong.
  • EG Industries Bhd is disposing of six parcels of unexpired leases of industrial land, measuring 6.28ha in Bandar Kuala Ketil in Kedah, for RM9 million to calcium-based chemical product manufacturer and trader Schaefer Kalk (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd.
  • SP Setia Bhd,the country's biggest listed property developer by sales, is confident it can achieve its RM4 billion sales target for this year, underpinned by RM9.5 billion of unbilled sales.
  • Kumpulan Perangsang Selangor Bhd’s (KPS) independent director Rosely @ Mohamed Ross Mohd Din told shareholders that the Selangor state-owned investment holding company will find a new business to invest in, after the disposal of its 90.83% stake in Titisan Modal (M) Sdn Bhd, which wholly owns the water treatment operator Konsortium ABASS Sdn Bhd.
  • PUC Founder (MSC) Bhd (PUCF) has obtained the approval from Bursa Securities and the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) for its proposed renounceable rights issue of irredeemable convertible unsecured loan stock (ICULS), with warrants to raise up to RM83.9 million.
  • SCGM Bhd posted a net profit of RM4.79 million for the financial second quarter ended Oct 31,2015 (2QFY16), a 57.6% increase from RM3.04 million a year ago, helped by favourable product mix, lower fuel cost and strengthening of US dollar against the ringgit.
  • Berjaya Food Bhd net profit plummeted 96% to RM6.2 million or 1.65 sen per share in its second financial quarter ended Oct 31, 2015 (2QFY16), from RM163.60 million a year ago, due to the remeasurement gain of RM158.60 million last year and foreign exchange loss.
  • Sanichi Technology Bhd shares surged 18.75% in early trade today after Sanichi yesterday signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with German firm Protev International GmbH to form a joint venture in providing a one-stop product and service centre to all its customers worldwide in the manufacturing of plastic injection moulds and tools.
  • Kimlun Corporation Bhd rose 2.08% this morning after AllianceDBS Research said renewed buying interest had emerged in Kimlun and that Kimlun had on Dec 9 traded higher to RM1.45 before closing near the day’s high at RM1.44 (up 6 sen or 4.34%).
  • Transocean Holdings Bhd executive director Tan Swee Hock has voluntary resigned from his post effective yesterday after being charged by the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) for insider trading.
GLOBAL FACTORS AND WORLD INDICES:
  • A sense of unease spread across Asian stock exchanges Thursday with investors spooked by the sharp sell-off in oil sending most regional markets lower.With crude sitting around seven-year lows energy firms came under further pressure, following more losses on Wall Street.
  • China shares ended lower on Thursday, giving up modest gains even after regulators reassured investors that reforms to company listings would not open a floodgate of new offerings.The CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell 0.4 per cent.
  • Hong Kong shares weakened on Thursday, pulled lower by resource shares, as investors remained wary of falling commodity prices and ahead of a likely US interest rate rise next week.The Hang Seng index fell 0.5 per cent, to 21,704.61.
  • Tokyo's benchmark stock index fell for a third straight session on Thursday as a strong yen dented exporters, and after Wall Street dropped on oil prices sinking to fresh seven-year lows.The Nikkei 225 at the Tokyo Stock Exchange sank 1.32 per cent, or 254.52 points, to 19,046.55 by the close.
  • Australian shares fell 0.84 per cent on Thursday led by financials as stronger-than-expected jobs data further diminished the chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut.The S&P/ASX 200 index slipped 42.75 points to 5037.7 at the close of trade.
  • Singapore GDP growth will remain lacklustre, reflecting a weaker outlook for China and Asean, as well as lower trend growth with domestic restructuring.The bank expects government measures in the property, transport and telecommunication sectors to be closely watched.
  • Vehicle sales in China rose 20 per cent in November from a year earlier to 2.5 million vehicles, an industry association said on Thursday.The increase was the largest since October 2013 and compares with an 11.8 per cent rise in October and a 2.1 per cent increase in September.
  • Oil prices edged up in Asia on Thursday following signs of a slight improvement in US demand but concerns that an oversupply will persist past next year kept the the commodity struggling at multi-year lows.
  • The dollar eased against most rivals in Asian trade on Thursday, with commodity-linked units enjoying support from a slight uptick in oil prices, while its Australian counterpart surged on the back of a strong jobs report.
  • Gold failed to log gains despite a 1.1 percent drop in the dollar index on Wednesday to its lowest in a month.