The week started with FBM KLCI index
gained 2.64 points at 1730.10. During the week, performance of our
benchmark index was underpinned by strong gains in CIMB following
news suggesting its mega merger with RHB capital and MBSB may be
called off. Market sentiment was cautious amid further weakness in
oil prices while investors remained concerned about the global
economy after the World Bank has cut its global growth forecast on
subdued performance in the EURO zone, Japan and some major economies.
Yesterday KLCI ended higher after oil prices rebound the most in more
than 2 1/2 years from close to six year low. This whole week index
shown side way movement of almost 28 points.
The FBM KLCI index lost 1.43 points or
0.08% at 1743.57 on Friday. Finance Index fell 0.17% to 15366.83
points, Properties Index up 0.03% to 1286.28 points and Plantation
Index down 0.40% to 7776.16 points. Market traded within a range of
13.89 points between an intra-day high of 1746.24 and a low of
1732.35 during the session.
The index went down following weighed
down by selling in Petronas-linked and banking counters. Investor’s
risk appetite were dampened by the weak lead from overnight US market
due to drop in crop price and the surprise move of Swiss National
Bank scrapping its three-year policy of capping the Swiss franc
against the euro.
FBMKLCI Week's Performance
Open: 1740.19
High: 1746.24
Low: 1732.35
Close: 1743.57
Change (Points): 11.13
% Change: 0.64%
Market Forecast for week ahead:
The global market tone came under fresh
pressure from ongoing weakness in currency and commodity markets,
highlighted by a huge overnight weekly decline in the euro and yen as
well as oil and copper. It is anticipated that market will move
upside in the coming week as technically there is a resistance at
1750.
Technical indicators:
RSI for this week is 38.801 with CCI at
98.804. Besides, difference line of MACD 29.310 overlapping its
signal line (22.339).
Support 1: 1725
Support 2:1706
Support 3:1670
Resistance 1: 1750
Resistance 2: 1770
Resistance 3: 1789
ECONOMIC FACTORS:
SapuraKencana Petroleum Bhd signed
a US$2.3 billion Islamic loan with 11 lenders - the largest Islamic
facility till date. The loan will convert a portion of its existing
conventional multi-currency facility (MCF) borrowings into a Shariah
based facility with 11 local, regional and international banks.
AirAsia Group to register stronger
earnings in 2015, given the significant benefits from lower jet fuel
price. It is assumed average yields (including surcharge) to drop
7.6 per cent in 2015 after an assumed decline of 5.8 per cent in
2014.
The ringgit opened marginally
lower against the US dollar this morning due to lack of buying
support.
Celcom Axiata Bhd will invest
RM100 million in capital expenditure (capex) to ensure connectivity
in flood-prone states in the east coast of Peninsular Malaysia. Its
CEO said the telco recognised the importance of full connectivity in
times of crisis – not only for residents within the affected
areas, but also to the relief teams and organisations working round
the clock to deliver aid.
MISC Bhd’s share price on the
Bursa Malaysia slipped after the company aborted the sale of its
wholly-owned subsidiary, MISC Integrated Logistics Sdn Bhd (MILS).
Asian currencies tend to
depreciate against the US dollar in the 12 month period prior to a
peak in oil prices and this time around, the peso is likely to be
the worst performing Asian currencies, according to a study.
The government should review the
budget given the significant change in oil prices, said CIMB Group
Holdings Bhd chairman. One of the targets that external observers
are watching for is the budget deficit and the target of 3% budget
deficit by 2015. And also here has to be clarity in terms of where
Petronas dividends are going to be and what are the main drivers
because the dividends are not just a function of oil price but also
a function of the group's capital expenditure plans.
The Ministry of International
Trade and Industry (Miti), which aims to see intra-Asean trade grow
from 24% of total trade now to 30% to 35% in the next few years,
said the harmonisation of rules and regulations for the Asean
Economic Community (AEC) is still a work-in-progress. The challenge
is because Asean is made up of 10 countries that can be divided into
different tiers in terms of per capita income, population and
economic development.
Bright Packaging Industry Bhd has
entered into a purchase-sale agreement with Zao Philip Morris
Izhora, a multinational tobacco manufacturing company in Russia to
supply aluminium foil worth US$15 million. Intra- Asian trade is
likely to expand from 24 percent to 34 percent, spurred by zero-duty
incentives on Asian Free Trade Area (AFTA).
Bursa Malaysia Securities has
issued an unusual market activity query to IFCA MSC Bhd due to the
recent rise in the price and volume of its shares. The counter
closed 4.5 sen lower at 95 sen, with 42.05 million shares changing
hands.